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Chapter 34: Futures and Futures Options
FIGURE 34-2.
January soybean, ratio spread.
90
80
70
60
50
:!::
40 0 ... a.. 30
0 20 .le
C 10
~ 0
-10
-20
-30
575 625 650
At Expiration
Futures Price
Points of maximum profit = Maximum downside loss
+ Difference in strikes
x Number of calls owned
=-4½ + 50 X 2
=95½
Upside break-even price = Higher striking price
700
+ Maximum profit/Net number of naked calls
= 650 + 95½/3
= 681.8
689
These are the significant points of profitability at expiration. One does not care
what the unit of trading is (for example, cents for soybeans) or how many dollars are
involved in one unit of trading ($50 for soybeans and soybean options). He can con­
duct his analysis strictly in terms of points, and he should do so.
Before proceeding into the comparisons beleen the backspread and the ratio
spread as they apply to mispriced futures options, it should be pointed out that the seri­
ous strategist should analyze how his position will perform over the short term as well
as at expiration. These analyses are presented in Chapter 36 on advanced concepts.