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695
Index
Option trading strategies, 487555
comparing, 487489
hedging applications and, 554555
multiunit strategies, 543544
optimal, choosing, 544554
profit/loss profiles (see Profit/loss profile)
spread strategies, other, 542543
Orders, types of, 1619
Ordinary least squares (OLS), 654
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
(OPEC), 356, 425
Original trading systems, 261278
run-day breakout system, 268273
run-day consecutive count system, 273278
wide-ranging-day system (see Wide-ranging-day
system)
Oscillators, 167170, 255
Out-of-the-money call, buying, 555
Out-of-the-money options:
definition of, 480
delta values and, 485
Outright positions, spread tables and, 440, 441
Overbought/oversold indicators, 198199
Parabolic price moves, 585
Parameter(s):
definition of, 291, 606
types of, 292293
Parameter set:
average performance, 311
definition of, 291
Parameter shift, trend-following systems
and, 247
Parameter stability, optimizing systems
and, 297
Past performance, evaluation, 319341
investment insights, 343
return alone, 319322
risk-adjusted return measures, 323335
visual (see Visual performance evaluation)
Patience, virtue of, 580581
Pattern(s). See also Chart patterns; Continuation
patterns; One-day patterns
market, 572573
seasonal, 415
Pattern recognition systems, definition of, 237
Penetration of top and bottom formations, 225229
Observations, market. See Rules, trading
OCO (one-cancels-other) order, 18
Oil. See Crude oil market; Heating oil; WTI
crude oil
“Old hand” approach, 373
OLS (Ordinary least squares), 654
One-cancels-other (OCO) order, 18
One-day patterns:
about, 109123
spikes, 109113
One-tailed test, 614, 617
One-year comparisons, 350
OPEC. See Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries (OPEC)
Open interest, volume and, 910
Open-mindedness, 585
Optimization:
definition of, 297
past performance and, 313
Optimization myth, 298310
Optimizing systems, 297298
Option(s):
fair value of, theoretical, 483
qualities of, 489
Option premium curve, theoretical, 481
Option premiums, 480483
components of, 480
interest rates and, 482483
intrinsic value and, 480
strike price and current futures price, 480481
theoretical versus actual, 483484
time remaining until expiration,
481482
time value and, 480483
volatility and, 482
Option-protected long futures:
long futures + long at-the-money put, 520521
long futures + long out-of-the-money put,
522523
Option-protected short futures:
short futures + long at-the-money call, 523524
short futures + long out-of-the-money call,
524525
Options on futures, 477485
about, 477479
delta and (neutral hedge ratio), 484485
option premiums and (see Option premiums)