98 lines
2.8 KiB
Plaintext
98 lines
2.8 KiB
Plaintext
696
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Index
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Preforecast period (PFP) price, 677–678
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Premium(s):
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definition of, 477
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dollar value of option, 477–478
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Price(s):
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consumption and, 364
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dollar price, 383
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grain, 351
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nonrandom, 587
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preforecast period (PFP) price, 677–678
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strike or exercise, 477
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supply, demand and
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swings (see Price swings)
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target levels and, 356–357
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Price changes, price series and, 285
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Price envelope bands, 107–108
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Price-forecasting models:
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adding expectations as variable in, 380
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demand and, 366–367
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inflation and, 383
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Price-indicator divergences, 171–172
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Price levels:
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nearest futures and, 91, 101
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nearest futures price series and, 48
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nominal, comparing, 355
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price series and, 285
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Price movements:
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dramatic, 428
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fitting news to, 431–432
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linked series and, 286
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parabolic, 585
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trend-following systems and, 245, 246
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Price oscillator, 163
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Price quoted in, 5
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Price reversals, 229
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Price seasonality, cash versus futures, 389–390
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Price-supporting organizations, 356
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Price swings:
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nearest futures and, 101
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nearest futures price series and, 48
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Price trigger range (PTR), 262
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Probability:
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distributions, 599–604
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heads and tails coin tosses, 390
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real versus, 390–391
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Probability-weighted profit/loss ratio (PWPLR),
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550–551
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Producer price index (PPI), 383
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Pennants. See Flags and pennants
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People’s Republic of China (PRC), 418
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Percent retracement, reversal of minor reaction,
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179–180
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Percent return, optimizing systems and, 297
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Performance evaluation, visual. See Visual
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performance evaluation
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Perishable commodities, 360
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“Perpetual” (constant-forward) series, 281–282
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Personality, trading method and, 576
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Personal trading, analysis of, 565–566
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Perspective:
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keeping, 587
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lack of, 351
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Petroleum. See Crude oil market; Heating oil;
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Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
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Countries’ (OPEC); WTI crude oil
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Philosophy, trading, 559, 578
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Pivotal events, 422
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Planned trading approach, 559–566
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markets to be traded, 560
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personal trading, analysis of, 565–566
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planning time routine and, 563
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risk control plan (see Risk control plan)
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trader’s diary, maintaining, 565
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trader’s spreadsheet, maintaining, 563–564
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trading philosophy and, 559
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Point-and-figure charts, 42–43
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Population, definition of, 598
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Population mean, estimation of, 607
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Population regression line, 619–620
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Populations and samples, 606
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Position, trading around, 581–582
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Position exit criteria, 189–204
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change of market opinion, 204
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chart-based objectives, 189
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contrary opinion, 203–204
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DeMark sequential, 199–203
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measured moves, 190–193
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overbought/oversold indicators, 198–199
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rule of seven, 194–196
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support and resistance levels, 196–197
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trailing stops, 204
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PPI. See Producer price index (PPI)
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PRC. See People’s Republic of China (PRC)
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Precious metals market. See also Gold market
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carrying charges and, 446
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demand and, 362 |