740 Part VI: Measuring and Trading Volatility FIGURE 36-5. Implied versus historical volatility of a stock. 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 oi--""""'""""',,,.....""' -10 -20 -30 "O -40 ct! -50 ~ -80 0. -701'-'-=CIJ+---+---+--+; -80 1999 FIGURE 36-6. Implied minus Actual The price graph of the stock. . . . •• , •••••••• ,. •••••••• .,. ••• + ••••••••••• ••••• -~······ •••••• ,. ••••••••••• ·t . ······ . . . ... [" ·· · ·· ·· ··· ·· · · · Stock Price · ·· · : ·· ·· I ~ !'"Y"d"'il~tilirrs::•of'T! ' ' .· ............ ; ·--·•·····! ............ · ................ : ............... : ...........•.. :. ············•·:••············•:•···········•;••·············(·········•: Implied Volatility 98 0 N D J F M A M 99 29.000 27.000 25.000 23.000 21.000 19.000 17.000 15.000 13.000 11.000 9.000 7.000 5.000 Date