478 Part IV: Additional Considerations The listed put' s price can be estimated by using the call pricing model and the arbitrage formula. Recall that the arbitrageur must include the cost of carrying the position as well as the dividends to be received. Theoretical Theoretical Strike Stock Carrying n· 'd d = + - - + IVI en s put call price price price cost The "theoretical call price" is obtained from the Black-Scholes model. The carrying cost is the cost of money (interest rate) times the striking price, multiplied by the time to expiration. Recall that this is the approximation formula for carrying cost (see Chapter 27 for comments on present value and compounding). Consequently, ifXYZ were at 41 and a 6-month January 40 call option were valued at 4 points by the Black-Scholes model, the theoretical put price could be estimated. Assume that the cost of money interest rate is 10% annually, and that the stock will pay $.50 in divi­ dends in 6 months (t = ½ year). Theoretical put price = 4 + 40 - 41- (.10 x 40 x ½) + .50 =3-2+½ =l½ This means that if the call could be sold for 4 points, the arbitrageur would be will­ ing to pay up to 1 ½ points for the put to establish a conversion. The arbitrageur's price is used as the theoretical listed put price estimate. PUT BUYING Put option purchases can be ranked in a manner very similar to that described for call option buying. Reward opportunities occur when the stock falls in accordance with its volatility. An upward stock movement represents risk for the put buyer. All of the 11 steps in the previous section on call buying are applicable to put buying. The pric­ ing of the put necessary for steps 4 and 8 is done in accordance with the arbitrage model just presented. If an underlying stock does not have listed puts trading, the synthetic put can be considered. While all U.S.-listed stocks have both puts and calls at every strike, there are still situations with warrants, especially in foreign countries, that are appli­ cable to the following discussion. Recall that synthetic puts are created for customers by some brokerage houses. The brokerage sells the stock short and buys a call. The customer can purchase the synthetic put for the amount of the risk involved, plus any dividends to be paid by the underlying stock. The synthetic put pricing formula that would be used in steps 4 and 8 of the option buying analysis is exactly the same as the arbitrage model for listed puts, except that the carrying costs are omitted: