Chapter 30: Stock Index Hedging Strategies 537 Example: Suppose that OEX is trading at 364.50 and a September OEX future - if one existed would have a fair value of 367.10. That is, the future would command a premium of 2.60. Not only should a future trade with that theoretical premium, but so should the "synthetic OEX" composed of puts and calls at the same strike. Hence, the synthetic OEX constructed with options should trade at about 367.10 also. That is, if the OEX Sep 365 call were selling for 4.60 and the Sep 365 put were selling for 2.50, then the synthetic OEX constructed by the use of these two options would be priced at 367.10. Recall that one determines the synthetic cost by adding the strike, 365, to the call price, 4.60, and then subtracting the put price: 365 + 4.60 2.50 = 367.0. This synthetic price of 367.10 is literally the same as the theoretical futures price of 367.10. The same calculations can be applied to any index with listed options trading. Let us now return to the broader subject at hand - trading market baskets of stocks against futures. PROGRAM TRADING Two terms that conjure up images of the stock market crash in 1987 and other severe price drops are "program trading" and "index arbitrage." Neither one by itself should affect the stock market, since they are two-sided strategies - involving buying stocks and selling futures. This two-sided aspect should have little effect on the market, the­ oretically. However, in practice, it is often the case that trades are not executed simul­ taneously, and the stock market takes a jump or a dive. Program trading is nothing more than trading futures against a general stock portfolio. Index arbitrage is trading futures against the exact stocks that comprise an index. Later discussions will assume that one is trying to create or simulate the index itself in order to hedge it with futures. This is the arbitrage approach. However, there are many other types of stock positions that may be hedged with the futures. These might include a portfolio of one's own construction containing various stocks, or might include a group of stocks from which one wants to remove "market risk." Normally, one would not own the makeup of any index, but rather would have a unique combination of stocks in his portfolio. Such an investor may want to use futures to hedge what he does own. One reason why an investor who owned stocks would want to sell index prod­ ucts against them might be that he has turned bearish and would prefer to sell futures rather than incur the costs involved with selling out his stock portfolio (and repur­ chasing it later). Commission charges are quite small on futures transactions as com-