Chapter 13: Reverse Spreads 231 calendar spread makes the most money if the stock is right at the strike price at expi­ ration, and it loses money if the stock rises or falls too far. As with any spread involving options expiring in differing months, it is common practice to look at the profitability of the position at or before the near-term expira­ tion. An example will show how this strategy can profit. Example: Suppose the current month is April and that XYZ is trading at 80. Furthermore, suppose that XYZ's options are quite expensive, and one believes the underlying stock will be volatile. A reverse calendar spread would be a way to profit from these assumptions. The following prices exist: XYZ December 80 call: 12 XYZ July 80 call: 7 A reverse calendar spread is established by selling the December 80 call for 12 points, and buying the July 80 call for 7, a net credit of 5 points for the spread. If, later, XYZ falls dramatically, both call options will be nearly worthless and the spread could be bought back for a price well below 5. For example, if XYZ were to fall to 50 in a month or so, the July 80 call would be nearly worthless and the December 80 call could be bought back for about a point. Thus, the spread would have shrunk from its initial price of 5 to a price of about 1, a profit of 4 points. The other way to make money would be for implied volatility to decrease. Suppose implied volatility dropped after a month had passed. Then the spread might be worth something like 4 points - an unrealized profit of about 1 point, since it was sold for a price of 5 initially. The profit graph in Figure 13-1 shows the profitability of the reverse calendar. There are two lines on the graph, both of which depict the results at the expiration of the near-term option (the July 80 call in the above example). The lower line shows where profits and losses would occur if implied volatility remained unchanged. You can see that the position could profit if XYZ were to rise above 98 or fall below 70. In addition, the higher curve on the graph shows where profits would lie if implied volatility fell prior to expiration of the near-term options. In that case, additional prof­ its would accrue, as depicted on the graph. So there are two ways to make money with this strategy, and it is therefore best to establish it when implied volatility is high and the underlying has a tendency to be volatile. The problem with this spread, for stock and index option traders, is that the call that is sold is considered to be naked. This is preposterous, of course, since the short­ term call is a perfectly valid hedge until it expires. Yet the margin requirements remain onerous. When they were overhauled recently, this glaring inefficiency was