206  •   The Intelligent Option Investor avoid this extreme downside are worth much more than they are presently trading at. The entire premium paid must be treated as a realized loss because it can never be recovered. If the stock fails to move into one of the areas of exposure before option expiration, there will be no profit to offset this realized loss. There is no reason why you have to buy puts and calls in equal num- bers. If you believe that both upside and downside scenarios are materially possible but believe that the downside scenario is more plausible, you can buy more puts than calls. This is called ratioing a position. T enor Selection Because the strangle is a combination of two strategies we have already discussed, the considerations regarding tenor are the same as for each of the components—that is, using the drift advantage in long-term equity an- ticipating securities (LEAPS) and buying them or the longest-tenor calls available and balancing the fight against drift and the cost of rolling and buying perhaps shorter-tenor puts. Strike Price Selection A strangle is slightly different in nature from its two components—long calls and long puts. A strangle is an option investor’s way of expressing the belief that the market in general has underestimated the intrinsic uncertainty in the valuation of a firm. Options are directional instru- ments, but a strangle is a strategy that acknowledges that the investor has no clear idea of which direction a stock will move but only that its future value under different scenarios is different from its present market price. Because both purchased options are OTM ones, this implies, in my mind, a more speculative investment and one that lends itself to taking profit on it before expiration. Nonetheless, my conservatism forces me to select strike prices that would allow a profit on the entire position if the stock price is at one of the two strikes at expiration. Because I am buying exposure to both the upside and the downside, I always like to make sure