Chapter 37: How Volatility Affeds Popular Strategies TABLE 37-3 Implied Stock Price Volatility 50 10% 30% 50% 70% 100% 150% 200% Theoretical Coll Price 1.34 3.31 5.28 7.25 10.16 14.90 19.41 753 Vega 0.097 0.099 0.099 0.098 0.096 0.093 0.088 of a 6-month call option with differing implied volatilities. Suppose one buys an option that currently has implied volatility of 170% (the top curve on the graph). Later, investor perceptions of volatility diminish, and the option is trading with an implied volatility of 140%. That means that the option is now "residing" on the secĀ­ ond curve from the top of the list. Judging from the general distance between those two curves, the option has probably lost between 5 and 8 points of value due to the drop in implied volatility. Here's another way to think about it. Again, suppose one buys an at-the-money option (stock price = 100) when its implied volatility is 170%. That option value is marked as point A on the graph in Figure 37-1. Later, the option's implied volatility drops to 140%. How much does the stock have to rise in order to overcome the loss of implied volatility? The horizontal line from point A to point B shows that the option value is the same on each line. Then, dropping a vertical line from B down to point C, we see that point C is at a stock price of about 109. Thus, the stock would have to rise 9 points just to keep the option value constant, if implied volatility drops from 170% to 140%. IMPLIED VOLATILITY AND DELTA Figure 37-1 shows another rather unusual effect: When implied volatility gets very high, the delta of the option doesn't change much. Simplistically, the delta of an option measures how much the option changes in price when the stock moves one point. Mathematically, the delta is the first partial derivative of the option model with respect to stock price. Geometrically, that means that the delta of an option is the slope of a line drawn tangent to the curve in the preceding chart.