512 A Complete Guide to the Futures mArket position. Whereas the short at-the-money put position reflects an expectation that prices will either rise or decline only slightly, the short out-of-the-money put merely reflects an expectation that prices will not decline sharply. Strategy 6c: Short put (In-the-Money) example. Sell August $1,300 gold futures put at a premium of $108.70/oz ($10,870), with August gold futures trading at $1,200/oz. (See Table 35.6c and Figure 35.6c.) Comment. For most of the probable price range, the profit/loss characteristics of the short in-the- money put are fairly similar to those of the outright long futures position. There are three basic dif- ferences between these two positions: 1. The short in-the-money put will lose modestly less than the long futures position in a declining market because the loss will be partially offset by the premium received for the put. 2. The short in-the-money put will gain modestly more than the long futures position in a moder- ately advancing market. 3. In a very sharply advancing market, the profit potential on a long futures position is open-ended, whereas the maximum gain in the short in-the-money put position is limited to the total pre- mium received for the put. In effect, the seller of an in-the-money put chooses to lock in modestly better results for the probable price range in exchange for surrendering the opportunity for windfall profits in the event of a price explosion. generally speaking, a trader should only choose a short in-the-money put over a long futures position if he believes that the probability of a sharp price advance is extremely small. tabLe 35.6c profit/Loss Calculations: Short put (In-the-Money) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Futures price at expiration ($/oz) premium of august $1,300 put at Initiation ($/oz) Dollar amount of premium received put Value at expiration profit/Loss on position [(3) – (4)] 1,000 108.7 $10,870 $30,000 –$19,130 1,050 108.7 $10,870 $25,000 –$14,130 1,100 108.7 $10,870 $20,000 –$9,130 1,150 108.7 $10,870 $15,000 –$4,130 1,200 108.7 $10,870 $10,000 $870 1,250 108.7 $10,870 $5,000 $5,870 1,300 108.7 $10,870 $0 $10,870 1,350 108.7 $10,870 $0 $10,870 1,400 108.7 $10,870 $0 $10,870