306  •   Index At-the-money (ATM) options: (continued) long straddles, 208–209 OTM options vs., 233–234 protective puts, 250–251, 253 short diagonals, 238, 240 short puts, 215, 216 short straddles, 230 short-call spreads, 222–225 AUM (assets under management), 132 B Balance-sheet effects, 92, 108–111 Behavior, efficient market hypothesis as model for, 41–42 Behavioral biases, 114–130 overconfidence, 118–122 pattern recognition, 114–118 perception of risk, 123–130 Behavioral economics, 42, 114 Bentley, 97–98 Berkshire Hathaway, 185 Bernstein, Peter, 9 Biases, behavioral (see Behavioral biases) Bid price, 147 Bid-ask spreads, 147–149 Bimodal outcomes, companies with, 277–278 Black, Fischer, 8–9 BlackBerry, 208–209 Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) model, 9 assumptions of, 32–33, 40–47, 78, 150 conditions favoring, 269–273 conditions not favoring, 273–281 incorrect facets of, 29 predicting future stock prices from, 32–39 ranges of exposure and price predictions from, 50–56 theory of, 32 (See also BSM cone) Bonds, investing in short puts vs., 213–214 Booms, leverage during, 199 Breakeven line, 25 for call options, 15, 16 for long strangle, 26–27 for put options, 17, 18 (See also Effective buy price [EBP]) Broker-dealers, 137, 299–300n5 Brokers, benefits of short-term trading for, 64 BSM cone: for call options, 50–55 for collars, 258 for covered calls, 240–244 creating, 156–160 defined, 38–39 delta-derived, 151–155 discrepancies between valuation and, 160–162 for ITM options, 57–58 for long calls, 189 for long diagonals, 235 for long puts, 201 for long strangles, 205 overlaying valuation range on, 160 for protective puts, 248, 249 for put options, 54–55 for short diagonals, 238 for short puts, 212, 216, 217 for short straddles, 230 for short strangles, 231 for short-call spreads, 220 with simultaneous changes in variables, 68–74 and time-to-expiration assumptions, 64–67 and volatility assumptions, 60–64 BSM model (see Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) model) Bubbles, 42–43 Buffett, Warren, xv, 184–185 Buying options (see Exposure-gaining strategies) Buy-side structural impediments, 132–136