1000 Volatility trading, basics of (continued) "fudge factor," 731, 733 implied volatility, 727, 732-743 as predictor of actual volatility, 737-7 43 LEAPS, 735, 736 percentile, 734-735 range, 735-737 time left in option, 736-737 Volatility Index ($VIX), 738 moving averages, 732 summary, 748 trading, 7 43-7 44 why volatility reaches extremes, 7 44-7 48 bear market in underlying stock, 746-747 cheap options, 747-748 illiquid options, 745-746 insider trading, 7 45 sellers of volatility, danger for, 7 48 supply and demand of public, 747 Volatility trading techniques, 812-845 as art and science, 812 summary, 844-845 trading volatility prediction, 814-837 backspreads, 827, 834-836 (see also Volatility trading techniques, volatility backspread) calendar spread, selling, 833 composite implied volatility reading, 815 histogram, construction of, 831-832 historical volatility, comparing current and past, 821-824 implied and historical volatility, comparing, 817- 818 percentile of implied volatility approach, 814-817 probability calculator, 824, 827-829 reverse calendar spread, 833-834 selecting strategy to use, 824-826 selling volatility, 826-827, 833-836 stock price history, using, 829-832 summary, 836-837 volatility chart, reading, 818-821 when volatility is out of line, determining, 814 volatility backspread, 827, 834-836, 841 margin, 836 not for LEAPS options, 835 volatility skew, trading, 837-844 collar, 840 Index differing implied volatilities on same underlying security, 837-838 forward/positive volatility skew, 843 reverse/negative volatility skew, 839-840 summary, 844 wrong predictions, two ways for, 813 volatility skew, 813 Warrants: covered writing against, 90-91 rho, 872-873 Wash sale rule, 922-923 Whipsaw, 403 Wrap symbols, 25-26 Writer, definition, 6 XMI (Major Market Index), 499