844 Part VI: Measuring and Trading VolatiRty tage of the volatility skew. The put backspread is best established when the overall level of implied volatility is in a low percentile. Finally, the call ratio spread has a great deal of risk to the upside ( and futures prices can fly to the upside quickly, espe­ cially if bad fundamental conditions develop, such as weather in the grain markets). The call ratio spread would best be used when implied volatilities are already in a high percentile. As a general comment, it should be noted that if the volatility skew disappears while the trader has the position in place, a profit will generally result. It would nor­ mally behoove the strategist to take the profit at that time. Otherwise, follow-up action should adhere to the general kinds of action recommended for the strategies in question: protective action to prevent large losses in the case of the ratio spreads, or the taking of partial profits and possibly rolling the long options to a more at-the­ money strike in the case of the backspread strategies. SUMMARY OF VOLATILITY SKEWING Whenever volatility skewing exists - no matter what market - opportunities arise for the neutral strategist to establish a position that has advantages. These advantages arise out of the fact that normal market movements are different from what the options are implying. Moreover, the options are wrong when there is skewing at all strikes, from the lowest to the highest. The strategist should be careful to project his profits prior to expiration using the same skewing, for it may persist for some time to come. However, at expiration, it must of course disappear. Therefore, the strategist who is planning to hold the position to expiration will find that volatility skewing has presented him with an opportunity for a positive expected return. SUMMARY OF VOLATILITY TRADING The theoretical trading of options, mostly in a neutral manner, has evolved into one large branch - volatility trading. This part of the book has attempted to lay out the foundations, structures, and practices prevalent in this branch of trading. As the read­ er can see, there are some sophisticated techniques being applied - not so much in terms of strategy, but in terms of the ways that one looks at volatility and in the ways that stocks can move. Statistical methods are used liberally in trying to determine the ways that either volatility can move or stocks can move. The probability calculators, stock price dis­ tributions, and related topics are all statistical in nature. The volatility trader is intent on finding situations in which current market implied volatility is incorrect, either in its absolute value or in the skew that is prevalent in the options on a particular under-