Chapter 40: Advanced Concepts Position summary Risk Factor Position delta = l 00 Position gamma = -600 Position theta = +$600 Position vega = -$3,600 877 Comment Neutral; no immediate exposure to small market movements; lose $100 for 1 point move in underlying. Fairly negative; position will react inversely to market movements, causing losses of $700 for second point of movement by underlying. Favorable; the passage of time works in the position's favor. Very negative; position is extremely subject to changes in implied volatility. This straddle sale has only one thing guaranteed to work for it initially: time decay. (The risk factors will change as price, time, and volatility change.) Stock price movements will not be helpful, and there will always be stock price movements, so one can expect to feel the negative effect of those price changes. Volatility is the big unknown. If it decreases, the straddle seller will profit handsomely. Realistically, however, it can only decrease by a limited amount. If it increases, very bad things will happen to the profitability of the position. Even worse, if the implied volatility is increasing, there is a fairly likely chance that the underlying stock will be jumping around quite a bit as well. That isn't good either. Thus, it is imperative that the stradĀ­ dle seller engage in the strategy only when there is a reasonable expectation that volatilities are high and can be expected to decrease. If there is significant danger of the opposite occurring, the strategy should be avoided. If volatility remains relatively stable, one can anticipate what effects the passage of time will have on the position. The delta will not change much, since the options are nearly at-the-money. However, the gamma will increase, indicating that nearer to expiration, short-term price movements will have more exaggerated effects on the unrealized profits of the position. The theta will grow even more, indicating that time will be an even better friend for the straddle writer. Shorter-term options tend to decay at a faster rate than do longer-term ones. Finally, the vega will decrease some as well, so that the effect of an increase in implied volatility alone will not be as damĀ­ aging to the position when there is significantly less time remaining. So, the passage