Chapter 40: Advanced Concepts XYZ:90 Position Sold 100 July 90 calls Sold 1 00 July 90 puts Option Delto 0.56 0.43 Position Delta -5,600 +4,300 873 1,300 shares These examples demonstrate how quickly a large position, such as being short 100 straddles, can acquire a large delta as the stock moves even a small distance. Extrapolating the moves is not completely correct, because the gamma changes as the stock price changes, but it can give the trader some feel for how much his delta will change. It is often useful to calculate this information in advance, to some point in the near future. Figure 40-10 depicts what the delta of this large short straddle position will be, two weeks after it was first sold. The points on the horizontal axis are stock prices. The quickness with which the neutrality of the position disappears is alarm­ ing. A small move up to 93 - only one standard deviation - in two weeks makes the overall position short the equivalent of about 3,300 shares of XYZ. Figure 40-10 real­ ly shows nothing more than the effect that gamma is having on the position, but it is presented in a form that may be preferable for some traders. What this means is that the position is "fighting" the market: As the market goes up, this position becomes shorter and shorter. That can be an unpleasant situation, both from the point of view of creating unrealized losses as well as from a psycho­ logical viewpoint. The position delta and gamma can be used to estimate the amount of unrealized loss that will occur: Just how much can this position be expected to lose if there is a quick move in the underlying stock? The answer is quickly obtained from the delta and gamma: With the first point that XYZ moves, from 88 to 89, the posi­ tion acts as if it is short 100 shares (the position delta), so it would lose $100. With the next point that XYZ rises, from 89 to 90, the position will act as if it is short the original 100 shares (the position delta), plus another 600 shares (the position gamma). Hence, during that second point of movement by XYZ, the entire position will act as if it is short 700 shares, and therefore lose another $700. Therefore, an immediate 2-point jump in XYZ will cause an unrealized loss of $800 in the position. Summarizing: Loss, first point of stock movement = position delta Loss, second point of stock movement = position delta + gamma Total loss for 2 points of stock movement = 2 x position delta + position gamma