Understanding and Managing Leverage    • 175 also fall to $2.50. If, instead, the value of the underlying security increases by $2.50, the value of that allocation will rise to $7.50. In a levered portfolio, each $5 allocation uses some proportion of capital that is not yours—borrowed in the case of a margin loan and con- tingently borrowed in the case of an option. This means that for every $1 increase or decrease in the value of the underlying security, the lev- ered allocation increases or decreases by more than $1. Leverage, in this context, represents the rate at which the value of the allocation increases or decreases for every one-unit change in the value of the underlying security. When thinking about the risk of leverage, we must treat different types of losses differently. A realized loss represents a permanent loss of capital—a sunk cost for which future returns can offset but never undo. An unrealized loss may affect your psychology but not your wealth (unless you need to realize the loss to generate cash flow for something else—I talk about this in Chapter 11 when I address hedging). For this reason, when we measure how much leverage we have when the underlying security declines, we will measure it on the basis of how close we are to suffering a realized loss rather than on the basis of the unrealized value of the loss. Leverage on the profit side will be handled the same way: we will treat our fair value estimate as the price at which we will realize a gain. Because the current market price of a security may not sit exactly between our fair value estimate and the point at which we suffer a realized loss, our upside and downside leverage may be different. Let’s see how this comes together with an actual example. For this ex- ample, I looked at the price of Intel’s (INTC) shares and options when the former were trading at $22.99. Let’s say that we want to commit 5 percent of our portfolio value to an investment in Intel, which we believe is worth $30 per share. For every $100,000 in our portfolio, this would mean buying 217 shares. This purchase would cost us $4,988.83 (neglecting taxes and fees, of course) and would leave us with $11.17 of cash in reserve. After we made the buy, the stock price would fluctuate, and depending on what its price was at the end of 540 days [I’m using as an investment horizon the days to expiration of the longest-tenor long-term equity anticipation secu- rities (LEAPS)], the allocation’s profit and loss profile would be represented graphically like this: