Chapter 37: How Volatility Affects Popular Strategies 775 Overall, the bullish spread position is an attractive alternative to an outright call purchase, especially when the call is overpriced. The spread does risk a greater amount of money if the underlying stock should collapse heavily. Still, if one is truly bullish, and if one employs a reasonably tight downside stop on his entire position, this spread can perform better than the outright purchase of an overpriced call. VERTICAL PUT SPREADS Also of interest is the effect that implied volatility has on put spreads. One of the more popular strategies involving puts is the sale of a credit spread - a bull spread with puts. Assume that a stock is selling at 100, and one is going to sell a put with a 110 strike and buy a put with a 90 strike. That is a put credit (bull) spread. Also assume that the options have four months of life remaining. (See Table 37-8.) One would not rationally sell this credit spread if implied volatility were as low as 20%, because at that low level of volatility, the in-the-money December llO put is trading for 10 dollars - parity - and thus would immediately be at risk of early assignment. But one can see that an increase in implied volatility increases the value of the spread. Now, if one had sold this spread to begin with, he would thus be losĀ­ ing money when implied volatility increased. This was proven with call bull spreads, too: They lose money when implied volatility increases. Conversely, of course, the put credit spread makes money when implied volatility decreases. What happens after thirty days have passed? Figure 37-8 shows just two cases - implied volatility at 30% and implied volatility at 80%. One can surmise that other levels of implied volatility between 30% and 80% would have profit graphs that lie between the two shown in Figure 37-8. TABLE 37-8 Implied Volatility 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% *Short option trading at parity 90-110 Put Bull Spread (Theoretical Value) 9.15 er* 9.70 er 10. 12 er 10.46 er 10.78 er 11.05 er 11.33 er