906 Part VI: Measuring and Trading Volatility Implied deviation = sqrt (sum of differences from mean) 2/(# options - 1) XYZ:50 Implied Option Volatility October 45 call 21% November 45 call 21% January 45 call 23% October 50 call 32% November 50 call 30% January 50 call 28% October 55 call 40% November 55 call 37% January 55 call 34% Average: 30.44% Sum of ( difference from avg)2 = 389.26 Implied deviation = sqrt (sum of diff)2/(# options - 1) = sqrt (389.26 I 8) = 6.98 Difference from Average -9.44 -9.44 -7.44 + 1.56 -0.44 -2.44 +9.56 +6.56 +3.56 This figure represents the raw standard deviation of the implied volatilities. To convert it into a useful number for comparisons, one must divide it by the average implied volatility. P d . . Implied deviation ercent eV1at10n = A . 1. d verage imp ie = 6.98/30.44 = 23% This "percent deviation" number is usually significant if it is larger than 15%. That is, if the various options have implied volatilities that are different enough from each other to produce a result of 15% or greater in the above calculation, then the strategist should take a look at establishing neutral spreads in that security or futures contract. The concept presented here can be refined further by using a weighted average of the implieds ( taking into consideration such factors as volume and distance from the striking price) rather than just using the raw average. That task is left to the reader.