778 Part VI: Measuring and Trading Volatility FIGURE 37-9. Bear put spread profit in 30 days. 1000 IV= 30% Assignment Risk Area (/) (/) 0 ...J ~ 0 e 70 80 110 120 130 140 a. ff7 IV= 80% -1000 '~ Stock problem, though, since the spread would have widened to its maximum potential in that case and could just be removed when the risk of early assignment materialized. When implied volatility remains high, though, the spread doesn't widen out much, even when the stock drops a lot after 30 days. Since it is common for implied volatility to rise (even skyrocket) when the underlying drops quickly, the put bear spread probably won't widen out much. That may not be a psychologically pleasing strategy, because one won't make the level of profits that he had hoped to when the underlying fell quickly. Once again, it seems that the outright purchase of an option is probably superi­ or to a spread. In these cases, it is true with respect to puts, much as it was with call options. Spreading often unnecessarily complicates a trader's outlook. CALENDAR SPREADS In the earlier chapter on calendar spreads, it was mentioned that an increase in implied volatility will cause a calendar spread to widen out. Both options will become more expensive, of course, since the increase in implied volatility affects both of them, but the absolute price change will be greatest in the long-term option. Therefore, the calendar spread will widen. This may seem somewhat counterintu­ itive, especially where highly volatile stocks are concerned, so some examples may prove useful.