Chapter 40: Advanced Concepts 889 Continuing to look at the profit picture, the downside is favorable to the spread since the short stock in the position would contribute to ever larger profits in the case that XYZ tumbles dramatically (see Figure 40-12). The upside is where problems could develop. In 7 days, the position breaks even at about 65 on the upside; in 14 days, it breaks even at about 67.50. The reader may be asking, "Why is there such a dramatic risk to the upside? I thought the position was delta neutral and gamma neutral." True, the position was originally neutral with respect to both those variables. That neutrality explains the flatness of the profit curves about the current stock price of 60. However, once the stock has moved 1.50 standard deviations to the upside, the neutrality begins to disĀ­ appear. To see this, let us look at Figures 40-13 and 40-14 that show both the posiĀ­ tion delta and position gamma 7 days and 14 days after the spread was established. Again, these are the same numbers listed in the previous tables. First, look at the position delta in 7 days (Figure 40-13). Note that the position remains relatively delta neutral with XYZ between 57 and 63. This is because the gamma was initially neutral. However, the position begins to get quite delta short if XYZ rises above 63 or falls below 57 in 7 days. What is happening to gamma while this is going on? Since we just observed that the delta eventually changes, that has to mean that the position is acquiring some gamma. FIGURE 40-12. XYZ ratio spread, gamma and delta neutral. 4300 3400 2500 1600 ~ 700 a.. 0 -200 53 55 57 59 61 63 .-1100 -2000 Stock Price