Chapter 28: Mathematical Applications Theoretical option price= pN(d 1) se-rtN(d2) p v2 ln(8 )+ (r +2 )t where d1 = _ r. V-4 t d2 = d1 - v--ft The variables are: p = stock price s = striking price t = time remaining until expiration, expressed as a percent of a year r = current risk-free interest rate v = volatility measured by annual standard deviation ln = natural logarithm N(x) = cumulative normal density function 457 An important by-product of the model is the exact calculation of the delta - that is, the amount by which the option price can be expected to change for a small change in the stock price. The delta was described in Chapter 3 on call buying, and is more formally known as the hedge ratio. Delta= N(d1) The formula is so simple to use that it can fit quite easily on most programmable calĀ­ culators. In fact, some of these calculators can be observed on the exchange floors as the more theoretical floor traders attempt to monitor the present value of option preĀ­ miums. Of course, a computer can handle the calculations easily and with great speed. A large number of Black-Scholes computations can be performed in a very short period of time. The cumulative normal distribution function can be found in tabular form in most statistical books. However, for computation purposes, it would be wasteful to repeatedly look up values in a table. Since the normal curve is a smooth curve (it is the "bell-shaped" curve used most commonly to describe population distributions), the cumulative distribution can be approximated by a formula: x = l-z(l.330274y 5 - l.821256y 4 + l.781478y 3 - .356538y 2 + .3193815y) where y 1 and z = .3989423e- 0 or N(cr) = 1- x if cr < 0