504A COMPleTe gUIde TO THe FUTUreS MArKeT Comment. The long put is a bearish strategy in which maximum risk is limited to the premium paid for the option, while maximum gain is theoretically unlimited. However, the probability of a loss is greater than the probability of a gain, since the futures price must decline by an amount exceeding the option premium (as of the option expiration) in order for the put buyer to realize a profi t. Two specifi c characteristics of the at-the-money option are: 1. The maximum loss will be realized only if futures are trading at or above their current level at the time of the option expiration. 2. For small price changes, each $1 change in the futures price will result in approximately a $0.50 change in the option price (except for options near expiration). Thus, for small price changes, a net short futures position is equivalent to approximately 2 put options in terms of risk. Strategy 5 b: Long put (Out-of-the-Money) example . Buy August $1,100 gold futures put at a premium of $10.10 /oz ($1,010). (The current price of August gold futures is $1,200/oz.) (See Table 35.5 b and Figure 35.5 b.) Comment. The buyer of an out-of-the-money put reduces his maximum risk in exchange for accept- ing a smaller probability that the trade will realize a profi t. By defi nition, the strike price of an out-of- the-money put is below the current level of futures. In order for the out-of-the-money put position Price of August gold futures at option expiration ($/oz) Futures price at time of position initiation and strike price Breakeven price = $1,161.30 Profit/loss at expiration ($) 1,000 10,000 7,500 −5,000 5,000 −2,500 2,500 0 17,500 15,000 12,500 1,050 1,100 1,150 1,200 1,250 1,300 1,350 1,400 FIGURE  35.5a Profi t/loss Profi le: long Put (At-the-Money)