Chapter 39: Volatility Trading Techniques 825 Speaking of neutrality, one can also use the deltas of the options in question to alter the ratio of puts to calls, making the position initially as neutral as possible. This is the suggested approach, since the volatility buyer does not care whether the stock goes up or down. He is merely interested in stock movement and/or an increase in implied volatility. Example: XYZ is again trading at 39.60, and the trader wants a neutral position. He should use the deltas of the options to construct a neutral position. Consider the October 40 straddle, for example. Assume the volatility used for the probability calĀ­ culations is 40%. Under those conditions (and the ones assumed in the previous example), the October 40 call has a delta of 0.60 and the October 40 put has a delta of -0.40. Thus a ratio of buying 2 calls and 3 puts is a neutral ratio. If the call is sellĀ­ ing for 6 and the put is selling for 5, then the break-even points for a 2-by-3 position would be 53.5 on the upside and 31 on the downside. This information is summarized as follows: Delta of October 40 call: Delta of October 40 put: +0.60 -0.40 Delta-neutral ratio: buy 2 calls and 3 puts Price of October 40 coll: Price of October 40 put: Net cost of 2-by-3 position: 27 points Break-even points: 6.00 5.00 Upside = 40 + 27 /2 = 53.50 Downside = 40 - 27 /3 = 31 .00 So, the probability calculations would endeavor to determine what the chances are of the stock ever trading at either 53.50 or 31.00 at any time prior to expiration. In fact, since there are straddles available in several expiration months, the strategist would want to analyze each of them in a similar fashion. Table 39-1 shows how his choices might look. If one were considering buying a strangle, similar calculations could be made using the deltas of the put and the call, where the call strike is higher than the put strike. Another simple strategy that can be used when volatility is low is the calendar spread, because it has a positive vega. That is, it can be expected to expand if implied volatility increases. For most traders, though, the limited profit nature of the calen-