Chapter 28: Mathematical Applications 489 information on the underlying stock are also necessary. The larger programmable cal­ culators can handle calculations such as the Black-Scholes model, computing the hedge ratio, and determining the probability of a stock being above or below a cer­ tain price at some future time. However, more involved calculations, such as com­ puting the implied volatility or determining the expected return of a position, require the use of a computer. SUMMARY Two basic mathematical aids have been presented: the pricing model and the ability to predict the probability of a stock's movement. The hedge ratio and the expected return analysis are extensions of the basic aids. Any strategy can be evaluated with these tools. Such an analysis should be able to give the trader or strategist some idea of the relative attractiveness of establishing the position, and may also aid in making follow-up adjustments to the position. All the analyses rely heavily on one's estimate of the volatility of the underlying stock Using the implied volatility seems to be one of the best ways to obtain an accurate, current volatility estimate, since it is derived from the prices in the market itself. The applications presented here are not all-inclu­ sive. The strategist who is, or becomes, familiar with the advantages of rigorous math­ ematical analysis will be able to construct many other aids for his trading that utilize the basic mathematics described in this chapter.