826 Part VI: Measuring and Trading Volatility TABLE 39-1 January February April July October January LEAP Call price 1.25 2.25 3.50 5.00 6.00 7.15 Put price 1.50 2.35 3.35 4.35 5.00 5.55 Call delta 0.48 0.52 0.55 0.58 0.60 0.62 Put delta -0.52 -0.48 -0.45 -0.42 -0.40 -0.38 Neutral ~ 1-to-1 ~l-to-1 ~ 1-to-1 ~2-to-3 2-to-3 ~2-to-3 Debit 2.75 4.60 6.85 23.05 27.00 30.95 Upside break-even 42.75 44.60 46.85 51.57 53.50 55.47 Downside break-even 37.25 35.40 33.15 32.30 31.00 29.68 dar spread is too much of a burden"° either psychologically or in terms of commis­ sions, and so this strategy is only modestly used by volatility traders. Some traders will use the calendar spread if they don't see immediate prospects for an increase in implied volatility. They perhaps buy a call calendar slightly out-of-the-money and also buy a put calendar with slightly out-of-the-money puts. Then, if not much happens over the short term, the options that were sold expire worthless, and the remaining long straddle or strangle is even more attractive than ever. Of course, this strategy has its drawback in that a quick move by the underlying may result in a loss, something that would not have happened had a simple straddle or strangle been purchased. SELLING VOLATILITY If one were selling volatility (i.e., volatility is too high), his choices are more complex. Virtually anyone who has ever sold volatility has had a bad experience or two with either exploding stock prices or exploding volatility. Some of the concerns regarding the sale of volatility will be discussed at length later in this chapter. For now, the sim­ pler strategies will be considered, in keeping with the discussion involving the cre­ ation of a volatility trading position. Simplistically, a volatility seller would generally have a choice between one of two strategies (although there is a more complicated strategy that can be introduced as well). The simplest strategy is just to sell both an out-of-the-money put and an out­ of-the-money call. The striking prices chosen should be far enough away from the current underlying price so that the probabilities of the position getting in trouble (i.e., the probabilities that the underlying actually trades at the striking prices of the naked options during the life of the position) are quite small. Just as the option buyer