Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
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AN INTrOduCTION TO OPTIONS ON FuTureS
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between the futures price and the strike price were less than the premium paid for the option, the
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net result of the trade would still be a loss. In order for the call buyer to realize a net profit, the dif-
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ference between the futures price and the strike price would have to exceed the premium at the time
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the call was purchased (after adjusting for commission cost). The higher the futures price, the greater
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the resulting profit. Of course, if the futures reach the desired objective, or the call buyer changes his
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market opinion, he could sell his call prior to expiration.
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4
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The buyer of a put seeks to profit from an anticipated price decline by locking in a sales price.
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Similar to the call buyer, his maximum possible loss is limited to the dollar amount of the premium
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paid for the option. In the case of a put held until expiration, the trade would show a net profit if the
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strike price exceeded the futures price by an amount greater than the premium of the put at purchase
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(after adjusting for commission cost).
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While the buyer of a call or put has limited risk and unlimited potential gain,
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5 the reverse is true
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for the seller. The option seller (“writer”) receives the dollar value of the premium in return for
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undertaking the obligation to assume an opposite position at the strike price if an option is exercised.
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For example, if a call is exercised, the seller must assume a short position in futures at the strike
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price (since by exercising the call, the buyer assumes a long position at that price).
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upon exercise,
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the exchange’s clearinghouse will establish these opposite futures positions at the strike price. After
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exercise, the call buyer and seller can either maintain or liquidate their respective futures positions.
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The seller of a call seeks to profit from an anticipated sideways to modestly declining market. In
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such a situation, the premium earned by selling a call will provide the most attractive trading oppor-
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tunity. However, if the trader expected a large price decline, he would usually be better off going
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short futures or buying a put—trades with open-ended profit potential. In a similar fashion, the seller
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of a put seeks to profit from an anticipated sideways to modestly rising market.
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Some novices have trouble understanding why a trader would not always prefer the buy side of an
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option (call or put, depending on his market opinion), since such a trade has unlimited potential and
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limited risk. Such confusion reflects the failure to take probability into account. Although the option
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seller’s theoretical risk is unlimited, the price levels that have the greatest probability of occurring
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(i.e., prices in the vicinity of the market price at the time the option trade occurs) would result in a net
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gain to the option seller.
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roughly speaking, the option buyer accepts a large probability of a small loss
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in return for a small probability of a large gain, whereas the option seller accepts a small probability
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of a large loss in exchange for a large probability of a small gain. In an efficient market, neither the
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consistent option buyer nor the consistent option seller should have any advantage over the long run.
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6
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4 even if the call is held until the expiration date, it will usually still be easier to offset the position in the options
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market rather than exercising the call.
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5 T echnically speaking, the gains on a put would be limited, since prices cannot fall below zero; but for practical
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purposes, it is entirely reasonable to speak of the maximum possible gain on a long put position as being unlimited.
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6 T o be precise, this statement is not intended to imply that the consistent option buyer and consistent option seller
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would both have the same expected outcome (zero excluding transactions costs). Theoretically, on average, it is rea-
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sonable to expect the market to price options so there is some advantage to the seller to compensate option sellers for
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providing price insurance—that is, assuming the highly undesirable exposure to a large, open-ended loss. So, in effect,
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option sellers would have a more attractive return profile and a less attractive risk profile than option buyers, and it
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is in this sense that the market will, on average, price options so that there is no net advantage to the buyer or seller.
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