Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
This commit is contained in:
@@ -0,0 +1,183 @@
|
||||
158 • The Intelligent Option Investor
|
||||
For Mueller Water, it’s a little trickier:
|
||||
2.5
|
||||
5
|
||||
7.5
|
||||
10
|
||||
Last
|
||||
C5.30
|
||||
C2.80
|
||||
0.55
|
||||
C0.00
|
||||
Change BidA sk Delta AUG 16 ´13
|
||||
2.5
|
||||
5
|
||||
7.5
|
||||
10
|
||||
NOV 15 ´13
|
||||
2.5
|
||||
5
|
||||
7.5
|
||||
10
|
||||
12.5
|
||||
FEB 21 ´14
|
||||
DescriptionCall
|
||||
Last Change BidA sk Impl. Bid Vol. Impl. Ask Vol.Impl. Bid Vol. Impl. Ask Vol. Delta
|
||||
Put
|
||||
C0.00
|
||||
C0.00
|
||||
C0.25
|
||||
C2.25
|
||||
C0.00
|
||||
C0.00
|
||||
C0.55
|
||||
C2.35
|
||||
C0.00
|
||||
C0.10
|
||||
C0.85
|
||||
C2.55
|
||||
C4.80
|
||||
5.20 5.50N /A 340.099% 0.9978
|
||||
0.9978
|
||||
0.7330
|
||||
0.1316
|
||||
0.9347
|
||||
0.8524
|
||||
0.6103
|
||||
0.1516
|
||||
0.9933
|
||||
0.9190
|
||||
0.6070
|
||||
0.2566
|
||||
0.1024
|
||||
142.171%
|
||||
46.039%
|
||||
76.652%
|
||||
N/A
|
||||
N/A
|
||||
2.95
|
||||
0.55
|
||||
0.10
|
||||
0.20
|
||||
0.10 N/A
|
||||
N/A
|
||||
N/A
|
||||
0.10
|
||||
0.30
|
||||
2.35
|
||||
40.733%
|
||||
N/A
|
||||
N/A
|
||||
N/A
|
||||
N/A
|
||||
36.550%
|
||||
38.181%
|
||||
35.520%
|
||||
35.509%
|
||||
35.664%
|
||||
2.10
|
||||
0.50
|
||||
0.05
|
||||
0.10
|
||||
0.60
|
||||
2.402.30
|
||||
0.05
|
||||
0.15
|
||||
0.15
|
||||
0.85
|
||||
2.60
|
||||
4.90
|
||||
2.70
|
||||
0.500.00
|
||||
5.20 5.50
|
||||
3.00
|
||||
0.90
|
||||
0.20
|
||||
2.80
|
||||
0.80
|
||||
0.10
|
||||
5.505.10
|
||||
3.102.85
|
||||
1.151.05
|
||||
0.400.30
|
||||
0.200.05
|
||||
39.708%
|
||||
N/A
|
||||
N/A
|
||||
36.722%
|
||||
N/A
|
||||
38.754%
|
||||
38.318%
|
||||
39.127%
|
||||
36.347%
|
||||
36.336%
|
||||
292.169% 0.0000
|
||||
-0.0000
|
||||
-0.2778
|
||||
-0.8663
|
||||
-0.0616
|
||||
-0.1447
|
||||
-0.3886
|
||||
-0.8447
|
||||
-0.0018
|
||||
-0.0787
|
||||
-0.3890
|
||||
-0.7375
|
||||
-0.8913
|
||||
128.711%
|
||||
53.108%
|
||||
88.008%
|
||||
117.369%
|
||||
60.675%
|
||||
42.433%
|
||||
44.802%
|
||||
110.810%
|
||||
50.757%
|
||||
42.074%
|
||||
43.947%
|
||||
49.401%
|
||||
163.282%
|
||||
75.219%
|
||||
42.610%
|
||||
45.215%
|
||||
122.894%
|
||||
64.543%
|
||||
42.697%
|
||||
44.728%
|
||||
50.218%
|
||||
C5.30
|
||||
C2.80
|
||||
C0.85
|
||||
C0.10
|
||||
C5.30
|
||||
C1.10
|
||||
C0.35
|
||||
C0.10
|
||||
3.00 +0.15
|
||||
0.70
|
||||
2.45
|
||||
4.60
|
||||
In the end, I would probably end up picking the implied volatility
|
||||
associated with the options struck at $7.50 and expiring in August 2013
|
||||
(26 days until expiration). I was torn between these and the same strike
|
||||
expiring in November, but the August options are at least being actively
|
||||
traded, and the percentage bid-ask spread on the call side is lower for them
|
||||
than for the November options. Note, though, that the August 2013 put
|
||||
options are so far OTM that the bid-ask spread is very wide. In this case,
|
||||
I would probably look closer at the call options’ implied volatilities. In the
|
||||
end, I would have a bid volatility of around 39 percent and an ask volatility
|
||||
of around 46 percent. Because the bid-ask spread is large, I would probably
|
||||
want to see a cone for both the bid and ask.
|
||||
Plugging in the 22.0/22.5 for Oracle,
|
||||
2 I would come up with this cone:
|
||||
Date
|
||||
Oracle (ORCL)
|
||||
Price per Share
|
||||
60
|
||||
40
|
||||
50
|
||||
30
|
||||
10
|
||||
20
|
||||
-
|
||||
6/21/201612/24/20156/27/201512/29/20147/2/20141/3/20147/7/20131/8/20137/12/2012
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user