Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
This commit is contained in:
@@ -0,0 +1,52 @@
|
||||
Chapter 37: How Volatility Affeds Popular Strategies
|
||||
TABLE 37-3
|
||||
Implied
|
||||
Stock Price Volatility
|
||||
50 10%
|
||||
30%
|
||||
50%
|
||||
70%
|
||||
100%
|
||||
150%
|
||||
200%
|
||||
Theoretical
|
||||
Coll Price
|
||||
1.34
|
||||
3.31
|
||||
5.28
|
||||
7.25
|
||||
10.16
|
||||
14.90
|
||||
19.41
|
||||
753
|
||||
Vega
|
||||
0.097
|
||||
0.099
|
||||
0.099
|
||||
0.098
|
||||
0.096
|
||||
0.093
|
||||
0.088
|
||||
of a 6-month call option with differing implied volatilities. Suppose one buys an
|
||||
option that currently has implied volatility of 170% (the top curve on the graph).
|
||||
Later, investor perceptions of volatility diminish, and the option is trading with an
|
||||
implied volatility of 140%. That means that the option is now "residing" on the sec
|
||||
ond curve from the top of the list. Judging from the general distance between those
|
||||
two curves, the option has probably lost between 5 and 8 points of value due to the
|
||||
drop in implied volatility.
|
||||
Here's another way to think about it. Again, suppose one buys an at-the-money
|
||||
option (stock price = 100) when its implied volatility is 170%. That option value is
|
||||
marked as point A on the graph in Figure 37-1. Later, the option's implied volatility
|
||||
drops to 140%. How much does the stock have to rise in order to overcome the loss
|
||||
of implied volatility? The horizontal line from point A to point B shows that the
|
||||
option value is the same on each line. Then, dropping a vertical line from B down to
|
||||
point C, we see that point C is at a stock price of about 109. Thus, the stock would
|
||||
have to rise 9 points just to keep the option value constant, if implied volatility drops
|
||||
from 170% to 140%.
|
||||
IMPLIED VOLATILITY AND DELTA
|
||||
Figure 37-1 shows another rather unusual effect: When implied volatility gets very
|
||||
high, the delta of the option doesn't change much. Simplistically, the delta of an
|
||||
option measures how much the option changes in price when the stock moves one
|
||||
point. Mathematically, the delta is the first partial derivative of the option model with
|
||||
respect to stock price. Geometrically, that means that the delta of an option is the
|
||||
slope of a line drawn tangent to the curve in the preceding chart.
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user