Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook

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Chapter 34: Futures and Futures Options 693
The reader has seen these follow-up strategies earlier in the book. However,
there is one new concept that is important: The mispricing continues to propagate
itself no matter what the price of the underlying futures contract. The at-the-money
options will always be about fairly priced; they will have the average implied volatility.
Example: In the previous examples, January soybeans were trading at 583 and the
implied volatility of the options with striking price 575 was 15%, while those with a
600 strike were 17%. One could, therefore, conclude that the at-the-money January
soybean options would exhibit an implied volatility of about 16%.
This would still be true if beans were at 525 or 675. The mispricing of the other
options would extend out from what is now the at-the-money strike. Table 34-3 shows
what one might expect to see if January soybeans rose 75 cents in price, from 583 to
658.
Nate that the same mispricing properties exist in both the old and new situa­
tions: The puts that are 58 points out-of-the-money have an implied volatility of only
12%, while the calls that are 92 points out-of-the-money have an implied volatility of
23%.
TABLE 34-3.
Propagation of volatility skewing.
Original Situation
January beans: 583
Implied
Strike Volatility
525 12%
550 13%
575 15%
600 17%
625 19%
650 21%
675 23%
New Situation
January beans: 658
Strike
600
625
650
675
700
725
750
This example is not meant to infer that the volatility of an at-the-money soybean
futures option will always be 16%. It could be anything, depending on the historical
and implied volatility of the futures contract itself. However, the volatility skewing
will still persist even if the futures rally or decline.
This fact will affect how these strategies behave as the(linderlying futures con­
tract moves. It is a benefit to both strategies. First, look at the put backspread when
the stock falls to the striking price of the purchased puts.