Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
This commit is contained in:
@@ -0,0 +1,37 @@
|
||||
480 Part IV: Additional Considerations
|
||||
One method of determination involves estimating the liquidating value of the spread
|
||||
at successive stock prices. When the liquidating value is found to be equal to the ini
|
||||
tial value, plus commissions, a break-even point has been located.
|
||||
Example: If the spread in question is using options with a striking price of 30, one
|
||||
would begin his break-even point calculations at a price of 30. Estimate the liquidat
|
||||
ing value of the spread at 30, 297/s, 29¾, 29-5/s, and so forth until the break-even point
|
||||
is found. Once the downside break-even point has been determined in this manner,
|
||||
the iterations to locate the upside break-even point should begin again at the striking
|
||||
price. Thus, one would evaluate the liquidating value at 30, 301/s, 30¼, and so on. This
|
||||
is somewhat of a brute-force method, but with a computer it is fairly fast. The num
|
||||
ber of calculations can be reduced by adopting a more complicated iteration process.
|
||||
A final useful piece of information can be obtained with the aid of the pricing
|
||||
model - the theoretical value of the spread. Recompute the estimated value of both
|
||||
the near-term and longer-term calls at the current time and stock price, using the
|
||||
implied volatility for the underlying stock. The resultant differential between the two
|
||||
estimated call prices may differ substantially from the actual differential, perhaps
|
||||
highlighting an attractive calendar spread situation. One would want to establish
|
||||
spreads in which the theoretical differential is greater than the actual differential
|
||||
(that is, he would want to buy a "cheap" calendar spread).
|
||||
Once these pieces of information have been computed, the strategist can rank
|
||||
the spread possibilities by whatever criterion he finds most workable. The logical
|
||||
method of ranking the spreads is by their return if unchanged. The spreads with the
|
||||
highest return if unchanged at near-term expiration are those in which the stock price
|
||||
and striking price were close together initially, a basic requirement of the neutral cal
|
||||
endar spread. More complicated ranking systems should tty to include the theoreti
|
||||
cal value of the spread and possibly even the maximum potential of the spread. A
|
||||
similar analysis can, of course, be worked out for put calendar spreads, using the
|
||||
arbitrage pricing model for puts.
|
||||
RATIO STRATEGIES
|
||||
Ratio strategies involve selling naked options. Therefore, the strategist has potential
|
||||
ly large risk, either to the upside or to the downside or both. He should attempt to
|
||||
get a feeling for how probable this risk is. The formulae for determining the proba
|
||||
bility of a stock being above or below a certain price at some time in the future can
|
||||
give him these probabilities. For example, in a straddle writing situation, the strate
|
||||
gist would want to compute such arithmetic quantities as maximum profit potential,
|
||||
return if unchanged, collateral required at upside break-even point or at upside
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user