Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
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712 Part V: Index Options and Futures
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stitute for futures spreads - that is, using in-the-money options. If one buys in-the
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rnoney calls instead of buying futures, and buys in-the-money puts instead of selling
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futures, he can often create a position that has an advantage over the intramarket or
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intermarket futures spread. In-the-money options avoid most of the problems
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described in the two previous examples. There is no increase of risk, since the options
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are being bought, not sold. In addition, the amount of money spent on time value
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premium is small, since both options are in-the-money. In fact, one could buy them
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so far in the money as to virtually eliminate any expense for time value premium.
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However, that is not recommended, for it would negate the possible advantage of
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using moderately in-the-money options: If the underlyingfutures behave in a volatile
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manner, it might be possible for the option spread to make money, even if the futures
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spread does not behave as expected.
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In order to illustrate these points, the TED spread, an intermarket spread, will
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be used. Recall that in order to buy the TED spread, one would buy T-bill futures
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and sell an equal quantity of Eurodollar futures.
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Options exist on both T-bill futures and Eurodollar futures. If T-bill calls were
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bought instead of T-bill futures, and if Eurodollar puts were bought instead of sell
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ing Eurodollar futures, a similar position could be created that might have some
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advantages over buying the TED spread using futures. The advantage is that if T-bills
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and/or Eurodollars change in price by a large enough amount, the option strategist
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can make money, even if the TED spread itself does not cooperate.
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One might not think that short-term rates could be volatile enough to make this
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a worthwhile strategy. However, they can move substantially in a short period of time,
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especially if the Federal Reserve is active in lowering or raising rates. For example,
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suppose the Fed continues to lower rates and both T-bills and Eurodollars substan
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tially rise in price. Eventually, the puts that were purchased on the Eurodollars will
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become worthless, but the T-bill calls that are owned will continue to grow in value.
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Thus, one could make money, even if the TED spread was unchanged or shrunk, as
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long as short-term rates dropped far enough.
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Similarly, if rates were to rise instead, the option spread could make money as
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the puts gained in value (rising rates mean T-bills and Eurodollars will fall in price)
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and the calls eventually became worthless.
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Example: The following prices for June T-bill and Eurodollar futures and options
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exist in January. All of these products trade in units of 0.01, which is worth $25. So a
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whole point is worth $2,500.
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June T-bill futures: 94.75
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June Euro$ futures: 94.15
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