Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
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Chapter 40: Advanced Concepts 889
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Continuing to look at the profit picture, the downside is favorable to the spread
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since the short stock in the position would contribute to ever larger profits in the case
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that XYZ tumbles dramatically (see Figure 40-12). The upside is where problems
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could develop. In 7 days, the position breaks even at about 65 on the upside; in 14
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days, it breaks even at about 67.50.
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The reader may be asking, "Why is there such a dramatic risk to the upside? I
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thought the position was delta neutral and gamma neutral." True, the position was
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originally neutral with respect to both those variables. That neutrality explains the
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flatness of the profit curves about the current stock price of 60. However, once the
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stock has moved 1.50 standard deviations to the upside, the neutrality begins to dis
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appear. To see this, let us look at Figures 40-13 and 40-14 that show both the posi
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tion delta and position gamma 7 days and 14 days after the spread was established.
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Again, these are the same numbers listed in the previous tables.
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First, look at the position delta in 7 days (Figure 40-13). Note that the position
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remains relatively delta neutral with XYZ between 57 and 63. This is because the
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gamma was initially neutral. However, the position begins to get quite delta short if
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XYZ rises above 63 or falls below 57 in 7 days. What is happening to gamma while
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this is going on? Since we just observed that the delta eventually changes, that has to
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mean that the position is acquiring some gamma.
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FIGURE 40-12.
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XYZ ratio spread, gamma and delta neutral.
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4300
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3400
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2500
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1600
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~ 700 a..
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0
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-200 53 55 57 59 61 63
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.-1100
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-2000
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Stock Price
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