Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
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Art and Science
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Although this was a very simplified example, it was typical of how a
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profitable week of gamma scalping plays out. This stock had a pretty
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volatile week, and overall the week was a winner: there were four losing
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days and three winners. The number of losing days includes the weekends.
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Weekends and holidays are big hurdles for long-gamma traders because of
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the theta loss. The biggest contribution to this being a winning week was
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made by the gap open on day four. Part of the reason was the sheer
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magnitude of the move, and part was the fact that the deltas weren’t covered
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too soon, as they had been on day three.
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In a perfect world, a long-gamma trader will always buy the low of the
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day and sell the high of the day when covering deltas. This, unfortunately,
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seldom happens. Long-gamma traders are very often wrong when trading
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stock to cover deltas.
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Being wrong can be okay on occasion. In fact, it can even be rewarding.
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Day three was profitable despite the fact that 140 shares were sold at
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$40.50, $41, and $41.50. The stock closed at $42; the first three stock trades
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were losers. Harry sold stock at a lower price than the close. But the
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position still made money because of his positive gamma. To be sure, Harry
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would like to have sold all 560 shares at $42 at the end of the day. The day’s
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profits would have been significantly higher.
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The problem is that no one knows where the stock will move next. On
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day three, if the stock had topped out at $40.50 and Harry did not sell stock
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because he thought it would continue higher, he would have missed an
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opportunity. Gamma scalping is not an exact science. The art is to pick
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spots that capture the biggest moves possible without missing opportunities.
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There are many methods traders have used to decide where to cover
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deltas when gamma scalping: the daily standard deviation, a fixed
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percentage of the stock price, a fixed nominal value, covering at a certain
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time of day, “market feel.” No system appears to be absolutely better than
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another. This is where it gets personal. Finding what works for you, and
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what works for the individual stocks you trade, is the art of this science.
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