Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
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Chapter 27: Arbitrage 439
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Example 1: XYZ is sold short at 60, and a January 50 call is bought for 10¼ points.
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Assume that the prevailing interest rate is 1 % per month and that the position is
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established one month prior to expiration. XYZ pays no dividend. The total credit
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brought in from the trades is $4,975, so the arbitrageur will earn $49.75 in interest
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over the course of 1 month. If the stock is above 50 at expiration, he will exercise his
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call to buy stock at 50 and close the position. His loss on the security trades will be
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$25 the amount of time value premium paid for the call option. (He makes 10
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points by selling stock at 60 and buying at 50, but loses 10¼ points on the exercised
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call.) His overall profit is thus $24.75.
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Example 2: A real-life example may point out the effect of interest rates even more
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dramatically. In early 1979, IBM April 240 calls with about six weeks of life remain
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ing were over 60 points in-the-money. IBM was not going to be ex-dividend in that
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time. Normally, such a deeply in-the-money option would be trading at parity or even
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a discount when the time remaining to expiration is so short. However, these calls
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were trading 3½ points over parity because of the prevailing high interest rates at the
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time. IBM was at 300, the April 240 calls were trading at 63½, and the prevailing
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interest rate was approximately 1 % per month. The credit from selling the stock and
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buying the call was $23,700, so the arbitrageur earned $365.50 in interest for 1 ½
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months, and lost $350 - the 3½ points of time value premium that he paid for the
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call. This still left enough room for a profit.
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In Chapter 1, it was stated that interest rates affect option prices. The above
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examples of the "interest play" strategy quite clearly show why. As interest rates rise,
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the arbitrageur can afford to pay more for the long call in this strategy, thus causing
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the call price to increase in times of high interest rates. If call prices are higher, so
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will put prices be, as the relationships necessary for conversion and reversal arbitrage
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are preserved. Similarly, if interest rates decline, the arbitrageur will make lower
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bids, and call and put prices will be lower. They are active enough to give truth to the
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theory that option prices are directly related to interest rates.
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THE BOX SPREAD
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An arbitrage consists of simultaneously buying and selling the same security or equiv
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alent securities at different prices. For example, the reversal consists of selling a put
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and simultaneously shorting stock and buying a call. The reader will recall that the
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short stock/long call position was called a synthetic put. That is, shorting the stock
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and buying a call is equivalent to buying a put. The reversal arbitrage therefore con
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sists of selling a (listed) put and simultaneously buying a (synthetic) put. In a similar
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