Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
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Finding Mispriced Options • 147
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the near at-the-money (ATM) strikes were the most active because of the
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two far OTM options that traded; one’s price didn’t change at all, and the
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other went up by 1 cent. On a day in which the underlying stock fell, these
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calls theoretically should have fallen in price as well (because the K/S ratio,
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the ratio of strike price to stock price, was getting slightly larger). This just
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shows that sometimes there is a disconnect between theory and practice
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when it comes to options.
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To understand what is probably happening, we should understand
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something about market makers. Market makers are employees at bro-
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ker-dealers who are responsible for ensuring a liquid, orderly securi-
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ties market. In return for agreeing to provide a minimum liquidity of
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10 contracts per strike price, market makers get the opportunity to earn
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the bid-ask spread every time a trade is made (I will talk about bid-ask
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spreads later). However, once a market maker posts a given price, he or
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she is guaranteeing a trade at that price. If, in this case (because we’re
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dealing with OTM call options), some unexpected positive news comes
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out that will create a huge rise in the stock price once it filters into the
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market and an observant, quick investor sees it before the market maker
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realizes it, the investor can get a really good price on those far OTM call
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options (i.e., the investor could buy a far OTM call option for 1 cent and
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sell it for 50 cents when the market maker realizes what has happened.
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To provide a little slack that prevents the market maker from losing too
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much money if this happens, market makers usually post prices for far
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OTM options or options on relatively illiquid stocks that are a bit unrea-
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sonable—at a level where a smart investor would not trade with him or
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her at that price. If someone trades at that price, fine—the market maker
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has committed to provide liquidity, but the agreement does not stipulate
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that the liquidity must be provided at a reasonable price. For this reason,
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frequently you will see prices on far OTM options that do not follow the
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theoretical “rules” of options.
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Bid-Ask
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For a stock investor, the difference between a bid price and an ask price
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is inconsequential. For option investors, though, it is a factor that must
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be taken into consideration for reasons that I will detail in subsequent
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