Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
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Chapter 25: LEAPS 385
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Those familiar with holding equity calls and puts are more accustomed to seeing
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an option lose 25% of its value in possibly as little as four or five weeks' time. Thus, the
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advantage of holding the LEAPS is obvious from the viewpoint of slower time decay.
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This observation leads to the obvious question: "When is the best time to sell my
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call and repurchase a longer-term one?" Referring again to the figure above may help
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answer the question. Note that for the at-the-money option, the curve begins to bend
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dramatically upward soon after the 6-month time barrier is passed. Thus, it seems log
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ical that to minimize the effects of time decay, all other things being equal, one would
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sell his long at-the-money call when it has about 6 months of life left and simultane
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ously buy a 2-year LEAPS call. This keeps his time decay exposure to a. minimum.
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The out-of-the-money call is more radical. Figure 25-4 shows that the call that
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is 20% out-of-the-money begins to decay much more rapidly (percentagewise) at
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sometime just before it reaches one year until expiration. The same logic would dic
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tate, then, that if one is trading out-of-the-money options, he would sell his option
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held long when it has about one year to go and reestablish his position by buying a 2-
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year LEAPS option at the same time.
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ADVANTAGES OF BUYING HCHEAP"
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It has been demonstrated that rising interest rates or rising volatility would make the
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price of a LEAPS call increase. Therefore, if one is attempting to participate in
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LEAPS speculative call buying strategies, he should be more aggressive when rates
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and volatilities are low.
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A few sample prices may help to demonstrate just how powerful the effects of
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rates and volatilities are, and how they can be a friend to the LEAPS call buyer. Suppose
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that one buys a 2-year LEAPS call at-the-money when the following situation exists:
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XYZ: 100
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January 2-year LEAPS call with strike of 100: 14
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Short-term interest rates: 3%
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Volatility: below average (historically)
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For the purposes of demonstration, suppose that the current volatility is low for XYZ
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(historically) and that 3% is a low level for rates as well. If the stock moves up, there
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is no problem, because the LEAPS call will increase in price. But what if the stock
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drops or stays unchanged? Is all hope of a profit lost? Actually, no. If interest rates
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increase or the volatility that the calls trade at increases, we know the LEAPS call will
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increase in value as well. Thus, even though the direction in which the stock is mov
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ing may be unfavorable, it might still be possible to salvage one's investment. Table
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25-3 shows where volatility would have to be or where short-term rates would have
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