Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
This commit is contained in:
@@ -0,0 +1,40 @@
|
||||
370 Part Ill: Put Option Strategies
|
||||
1. underlying stock price,
|
||||
2. striking price,
|
||||
3. time remaining,
|
||||
4. volatility,
|
||||
5. risk-free interest rate, and
|
||||
6. dividend rate.
|
||||
The relative influence of these factors may be a little more pronounced for
|
||||
LEAPS than it is for shorter-term equity options. Consequently, the trader may think
|
||||
that a LEAPS is overly expensive or cheap by inspection, when in reality it is not. One
|
||||
should be careful in his evaluation of LEAPS until he has acquired experience in
|
||||
observing how their prices relate to the shorter-tenn equity options with which he is
|
||||
experienced.
|
||||
It might prove useful to reexamine the option pricing curve with some LEAPS
|
||||
included. Please refer to Figure 25-1 for the pricing curves of several options. As
|
||||
always, the solid intrinsic value line is the bottom line; it is the same for any call
|
||||
option. The curves are all drawn with the same values for the pertinent variables:
|
||||
stock price, striking price, volatility, short-term interest rate, and dividends. Thus,
|
||||
they can be compared directly.
|
||||
The most obvious thing to notice about the curves in Figure 25-1 is that the
|
||||
curve depicting the 2-year LEAPS is quite flat. It has the general shape of the
|
||||
shorter-term curves, but there is so much time value at stock prices even 25% in
|
||||
or out-of-the-money, that the 2-year curve is much flatter than the others.
|
||||
Other observations can be made as well. Notice the at-the-money options: The
|
||||
2-year LEAPS sells for a little more than four times the 3-month option. As we shall
|
||||
see, this can change with the effects of interest rates and dividends, but it confirms
|
||||
something that was demonstrated earlier: Time decay is not linear. Thus, the 2-year
|
||||
LEAPS, which has eight times the amount of time remaining as compared to the 3-
|
||||
month call, only sells for about four times as much. This LEAPS might appear cheap
|
||||
to the casual observer, but remember that these graphs depict the fair values for this
|
||||
set of input parameters. Do not be deluded into thinking that a LEAPS looks cheap
|
||||
merely by comparing its price to a nearer-term option; use a model to evaluate it, or
|
||||
at least use the output of someone else's model.
|
||||
The curves in Figure 25-1 depict the relationships between stock price, striking
|
||||
price, and time remaining. The most important remaining determinant of an option's
|
||||
price is the volatility of the underlying stock. Changes in volatility can greatly change
|
||||
the price of any option. This is especially true for LEAPS, since a long-term option's
|
||||
price will fluctuate greatly when volatility changes only a little. Some observations on
|
||||
the differing effects that volatility changes have on short- and long-term options are
|
||||
presented later.
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user