Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook

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Chapter 28: Mathematical Applications 475
A final ranking of all potential call buys can be obtained by performing steps 3
through 6 on all stocks, and ranking the purchases by their percentage reward.
RISK
7. Calculate the stock price that the stock could fall to, when the assumptions in
steps 1 and 2 are applied.
8. With a model, price the option after the stock's decline.
9. Calculate the percentage loss after commissions.
10. Compute a reward/risk ratio: Divide the percentage profit from step 5 by the
percentage risk from step 9.
11. Repeat steps 8 through 10 for each option on the stock.
A final ranking of less aggressive option purchases can be constructed by performing
steps 7 through 11 on all stocks, and ranking the purchases by their reward/risk ratio.
The higher profitability list of option purchases will tend to be at- or slightly
out-of-the-money calls. The less aggressive list, ranked by reward/risk potential, will
tend to be in-the-money options.
Example: Steps 1 and 2: Suppose an investor wants to look at option purchases for a
90-day holding period, under the assumption that each stock could move up by one
standard deviation in that time. (There is only about a 16% chance that a stock will
move more than one standard deviation in one direction in a given time period.
Therefore, in actual practice, one might want to use a smaller stock movement in his
ranking calculations.) Furthermore, assume that the following data are known:
XYZ common, 41;
XYZ volatility, 30% annually;
XYZ January 40 call, 4; and
time to January expiration, 6 months
Step 3: Calculate upward stock potential. This is accomplished by the following
formula:
where
p = current stock price
q = potential stock price