Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
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190 • The Intelligent Option Investor
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T enor Selection
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In general, the rule for gaining exposure is to buy as long a tenor as is
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available. If a stock moves up faster than you expected, the option will still
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have time value left on it, and you can sell it to recoup the extra money you
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spent to buy the longer-tenor option. In addition, long-tenor options are
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usually proportionally less expensive than shorter-tenor ones. Y ou can see
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this through the following table. These ask prices are for call options on
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Google (GOOG) struck at whatever price was closest to the 50-delta mark
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for every tenor available.
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Days to Expiration Ask Price Marginal Price/Day Delta
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3 6.00 2.00 52
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10 10.30 0.61 52
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17 12.90 0.37 52
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24 15.50 0.37 52
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31 17.70 0.31 52
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59 22.40 0.17 49
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87 34.40 0.43 50
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150 42.60 0.13 50
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178 47.30 0.17 50
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241 56.00 0.14 50
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542 86.40 0.10 50
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The “Marginal Price/Day” column is simply the extra that you pay to get
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the extra days on the contract. For example, the contract with three days left is
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$6.00. For seven more days of exposure, you pay a total of $4.30 extra, which
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works out to a per-day rate of $0.61. We see blips in the marginal price per
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day field as we go from 59 to 87 to 150 days, but these are just artifacts of data
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availability; the closest strikes did not have the same delta for each expiration.
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The preceding chart, it turns out, is just the inverse of the rule we
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already learned in Chapter 3: “time value slips away fastest as we get closer
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to expiration. ” If time value slips away more quickly nearer expiration, it
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must mean that the time value nearer expiration is proportionally worth
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more than the time value further away from expiration. The preceding
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table simply illustrates this fact.
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