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CHAPTER 5
Naked Call Writing
The next two chapters will concentrate on various aspects of writing uncovered call
options. These strategies have risk ofloss if the underlying stock should rise in price,
but they offer profits if the underlying stock declines in price. This chapter on
naked, or uncovered, call writing - demonstrates some of the risks and rewards
inherent in this aggressive strategy. Novice option traders often think that selling
naked options is the "best" way to make money, because of time decay. In addition,
they often assume that market-makers and other professionals sell a lot of naked
options. In reality, neither is true. Yes, options do eventually lose their premium if
held all the way until expiration. However, when an option has a good deal of life
remaining, its excess value above intrinsic value what we call "time value premium"
- is, in reality, heavily influenced by the volatility estimate of the stock. This is called
implied volatility and is discussed at length later in the book. For now, though, it is
sufficient to understand that a lot can go wrong when one writes a naked option,
before it eventually expires. As to professionals selling a lot of naked options, the fact
is that most market-makers and other full-time option traders attempt to reduce their
exposure to large stock price movements if possible. Hence, they may sell some
options naked, but they generally try to hedge them by buying other options or by
buying the underlying stock.
Many novice option traders hold these misconceptions, probably because there
is a general belief that most options expire worthless. Occasionally, one will even hear
or see a statement to this effect in the mainstream media, but it is not true that most
options expire worthless. In fact, studies conducted by McMillan Analysis Corp. in
both bull and bear months indicate that about 65% to 70% of all options have some
value (at least half a point) when they expire. This is not to say that all option buyers
make money, either, but it does serve to show that many more options do not expire
worthless than do.
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