Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
This commit is contained in:
@@ -0,0 +1,97 @@
|
||||
697
|
||||
Index
|
||||
Prudence, 583
|
||||
PTR. See Price trigger range (PTR)
|
||||
Pure arbitrage, 530
|
||||
PWPLR. See Probability-weighted profit/loss ratio
|
||||
(PWPLR)
|
||||
Pyramiding:
|
||||
midtrend entry and, 182
|
||||
rejected signals and, 251
|
||||
trend-following systems and, 252–253
|
||||
Quantum Fund, 22
|
||||
Random error, 628, 679
|
||||
Random sample, definition of, 608
|
||||
Random variable, 599
|
||||
Random Walkers, 29–34
|
||||
Rate of change, 163
|
||||
Ratio call write, 532–534
|
||||
Reaction count, 179–180
|
||||
Recession, severe, 367. See also Great Recession
|
||||
Regression analysis, 589–595, 675–683
|
||||
about, 374–375, 589–591
|
||||
assumptions of, basic, 620
|
||||
best fit, meaning of, 591–593
|
||||
dependent variable, determining, 675–676
|
||||
example, practical, 593
|
||||
forecast error and, 679–680
|
||||
independent variables, selecting, 677
|
||||
least-squares approach, 592–593, 594
|
||||
practical considerations in applying, 675–683
|
||||
preforecast period (PFP) price and, 677–678
|
||||
regression forecast, reliability of, 593–595
|
||||
simulation, 680–681
|
||||
step-by-step procedure, sample, 682–683
|
||||
stepwise regression, 681–682
|
||||
survey period length and, 678–679
|
||||
Regression coefficients:
|
||||
computing t-value for, 626
|
||||
multicollinearity and, 665
|
||||
sampling distribution of, 621
|
||||
testing significance of, 620–626
|
||||
Regression equation, 619–635
|
||||
analyzing (see Analysis of regression equation)
|
||||
coefficient of determination R
|
||||
2, 630–633
|
||||
confidence interval for an individual forecast,
|
||||
627–629
|
||||
extrapolation, 630
|
||||
misspecification and, 679
|
||||
Production costs, price declines and, 351–352
|
||||
Profit(s):
|
||||
partial, pulling out, 584
|
||||
slow systems and, 245, 246
|
||||
winning trades and, 570–571
|
||||
Profit/loss matrix, short puts with different strike
|
||||
prices, 514
|
||||
Profit/loss profile:
|
||||
alternative bearish strategies, three, 548
|
||||
alternative bullish strategies, three, 547
|
||||
alternative neutral strategies, two, 549
|
||||
bear call money spread, 536, 538
|
||||
bearish “T exas option hedge,” 520
|
||||
bear put money spread, 539, 542
|
||||
bull call money spread, 535
|
||||
bullish “T exas option hedge,” 518
|
||||
bull put money spread, 541
|
||||
covered call write, 527
|
||||
covered put write, 528
|
||||
definition of, 488
|
||||
key option trading strategies and, 489–542
|
||||
key trading strategies and, 489–542
|
||||
long call (at-the-money), 492, 495
|
||||
long call (out-of-the-money), 494
|
||||
long futures, 490
|
||||
long futures and long call comparisons, 497
|
||||
long futures and short put comparisons, 514
|
||||
long put (at-the-money), 504
|
||||
long put (in-the-money), 507
|
||||
long put (out-of-the-money), 505
|
||||
long straddle, 516
|
||||
option-protected long futures, 521, 522
|
||||
option-protected short futures, 524, 525
|
||||
ratio call write, 533
|
||||
short call (at-the-money), 498
|
||||
short call (in-the-money), 501
|
||||
short call (out-of-the-money), 500
|
||||
short futures, 491
|
||||
short futures and long put comparisons, 509
|
||||
short futures and short call comparisons, 503
|
||||
short put (at-the-money), 510
|
||||
short put (in-the-money), 513
|
||||
short put (out-of-the-money), 511
|
||||
short straddle, 517
|
||||
synthetic long futures, 529
|
||||
synthetic short futures, 532
|
||||
trading strategies and, 488–489
|
||||
two long calls vs. long futures, 544
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user