Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
This commit is contained in:
@@ -0,0 +1,37 @@
|
||||
860 Part VI: Measuring and Trading Volatility
|
||||
Example: Again, assume XYZ is at 49, and the January 50 call is selling for 3.50. The
|
||||
vega of the option is 0.25, and the current volatility of XYZ is 30%.
|
||||
If the volatility increases by one percentage point or 1 % to 31 %, then the vega
|
||||
indicates that the option will increase in value by 0.25, to 3. 75.
|
||||
If the volatility had instead decreased by 1 percent to 29%, then the January 50
|
||||
call would have decreased to 3.25 (a loss of 0.25, the amount of the vega).
|
||||
If the implied volatility of an option increases, the option price will increase as
|
||||
well. Consequently, even though XYZ stock may be exhibiting the same historic
|
||||
movement that it always has, and therefore its (historical) volatility would be
|
||||
unchanged, if option buyers appear in sufficient quantity, they may drive the implied
|
||||
volatility of XYZ's options higher. Likewise, an excess of option sellers could drive the
|
||||
implied volatility lower, even though the historical volatility does not change. So, it
|
||||
must be concluded that vega measures how much the option price changes as implied
|
||||
volatility changes.
|
||||
Vega is related to time. Figure 40-6 (see Table 40-6) shows the vegas for options
|
||||
with differing times remaining until expiration. The underlying stock is assumed to
|
||||
be 50 in all cases. Notice that the more time that remains, the higher the vega is. It
|
||||
is interesting to note that, for very long-term options, the vega of the slightly out-of
|
||||
the-money calls (strike = 55) is actually higher than that of the at-the-money.
|
||||
However, this discrepancy disappears as time passes. Not shown, but equally true, is
|
||||
that the vega of a slightly out-of-the-money option on a very volatile stock may be
|
||||
higher than that of the at-the-money.
|
||||
As with the measurements of risk discussed already, vega can refer to the option
|
||||
itself ("option vega") or to the position as a whole ("position vega"). Since vega is
|
||||
expressed as a positive number, if one is long options, then his position vega will be
|
||||
positive. This means he has exposure if volatilities decrease, or can make money if
|
||||
volatilities increase.
|
||||
Example: Again, assume that we have the same backspread position as before, with
|
||||
XYZ at 31.75.
|
||||
Option Position
|
||||
Position Vega Vego
|
||||
Short 4,500 XYZ 0.00 0
|
||||
Short 100 XYZ April 25 calls 0.02 - 200
|
||||
Long 50 XYZ April 30 calls 0.05 + 250
|
||||
Long 139 XYZ July 30 calls 0.07 + 973
|
||||
Total Vega: + 1,023
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user