Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
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to be more risk than usual of future volatility. The question remains: Is the
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higher premium worth the risk?
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The answer to this question is subjective. Part of the answer is based on
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Stacie’s assessment of future volatility. Is the market right? The other part is
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based on Stacie’s risk tolerance. Is she willing to endure the greater price
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swings associated with the potentially higher volatility? This can mean
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getting whipsawed, which is exiting a position after reaching a stop-loss
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point only to see the market reverse itself. The would-be profitable trade is
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closed for a loss. Higher volatility can also mean a higher likelihood of
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getting assigned and acquiring an unwanted long stock position.
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Cash-Secured Puts
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There are some situations where higher implied volatility may be a
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beneficial trade-off. What if Stacie’s motivation for shorting puts was
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different? What if she would like to own the stock, just not at the current
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market price? Stacie can sell ten 65 puts at 1.75 and deposit $63,250 in her
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trading account to secure the purchase of 1,000 shares of Johnson &
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Johnson if she gets assigned. The $63,250 is the $65 per share she will pay
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for the stock if she gets assigned, minus the 1.75 premium she received for
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the put × $100 × 10 contracts. Because the cash required to potentially
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purchase the stock is secured by cash sitting ready in the account, this is
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called a cash-secured put.
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Her effective purchase price if assigned is $63.25—the same as her
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breakeven at expiration. The idea with this trade is that if Johnson &
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Johnson is anywhere under $65 per share at expiration, she will buy the
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stock effectively at $63.25. If assigned, the time premium of the put allows
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her to buy the stock at a discount compared with where it is priced when the
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trade is established, $64. The higher the time premium—or the higher the
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implied volatility—the bigger the discount.
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This discount, however, is contingent on the stock not moving too much.
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If it is above $65 at expiration she won’t get assigned and therefore can
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only profit a maximum of 1.75 per contract. If the stock is below $63.25 at
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expiration, the time premium no longer represents a discount, in fact, the
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trade becomes a loser. In a way, Stacie is still selling volatility.
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