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Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook

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Rushabh Gosar
2025-12-23 21:17:22 -08:00
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The Black-Scholes-Merton Model  • 47
The fact that the theoretical basis of option pricing is provably wrong
is very good news for intelligent investors. The essence of intelligent option
investing involves comparing the mechanically determined and unreason-
able range of stock price predictions made by the BSM with an intelligent
and rational valuation range made by a human investor. Because the BSM
is using such ridiculous assumptions, it implies that intelligent, rational
investors will have a big investing advantage. Indeed, I believe that they do.
Now that we have seen how the BSM forecasts future price ranges for
stocks and why the predictions made by the BSM are usually wrong, let us
now turn to an explanation of how the stock price predictions made by the
BSM tie into the option prices we see on an option exchange such as the
Chicago Board Option Exchange (CBOE).