Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
This commit is contained in:
@@ -0,0 +1,41 @@
|
||||
I
|
||||
I I
|
||||
I i
|
||||
I ;
|
||||
I
|
||||
i ;·
|
||||
!
|
||||
474 Part IV: Additional Considerations
|
||||
arbitra:ry requirements would be including only calls that sell for one point or more,
|
||||
or stating that the downside protection must be a certain percentage of the stock
|
||||
price. These obviously cannot suffice for stocks with different volatilities. Rather,
|
||||
the downside protection criterion should be stated in terms of "probability of down
|
||||
protection" or, alternatively, in terms of the volatility itself. In this manner, a uniform
|
||||
comparison can be made between volatile and nonvolatile stocks.
|
||||
CALL BUYING
|
||||
The option buyer can also constructively use the measurement of volatility to aid him
|
||||
in his option buying decisions. In Chapter 3, it was shown that evaluating the prof
|
||||
itability of calls based on the volatility of the underlying stock is the correct way to
|
||||
analyze an option purchase. One specific method of analysis is described. There are
|
||||
certain variables in this analysis that may be altered to fit the call buyer's individual
|
||||
preferences, but the general logic is applicable to all cases.
|
||||
As a first step, one should decide upon a uniform stock rrwvement for ranking
|
||||
call purchases. One might decide to rank all purchases by how they would perform
|
||||
if the underlying stock moved up in accordance with its volatility. The phrase "in
|
||||
accordance with its volatility" must be quantified. For example, one might decide to
|
||||
assume that eve:ry stock could move up one standard deviation, and then rank all call
|
||||
purchases on that basis. The prospective call buyer must also fix the time period that
|
||||
he wants to use. Generally, one looks at purchases to be held for 30 days, 60 days, and
|
||||
90 days.
|
||||
The exact steps to be followed in the analysis of profitability and risk can be list
|
||||
ed as follows:
|
||||
I. Specify the distance that underlying stock can move, up or down, in terms of its
|
||||
volatility.
|
||||
2. Select the holding period over which the analysis is to take place.
|
||||
PROFITABILITY
|
||||
3. Calculate the stock price that the stock would move up to, when the foregoing
|
||||
assumptions are implemented.
|
||||
4. Using a pricing model, such as the Black-Scholes model, estimate what the
|
||||
option price would become after the upward stock movement.
|
||||
5. Calculate the percent profit, after deducting commissions.
|
||||
6. Repeat steps 4 and 5 for each option on the stock.
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user