Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook

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68 •   TheIntelligentOptionInvestor
assumption. Because these are the two biggest determinants, lets take a
look at some common examples in which a change in one offsets or exac-
erbates a change in the other.
Following are a few examples of how interactions between the variables
sometimes appear. For each of these examples, I am assuming a shorter
investment time horizon than I usually do because most people who get hurt
by some adverse combination of variables exacerbate their pain by trading
short-term contracts, where the effect of time value is particularly severe.
Falling Volatility Offsets Accurate Directional Prediction
Lets say that we are expecting Advanced Building Corp. to announce that it
will release a new product and that we believe that this product announcement
will generate a significant short-term boost in the stock price. We think that
the $50 stock price could pop up to $55, so we buy some short-dated calls
struck at $55, figuring that if the price does pop, we can sell the calls struck at
$55 for a handsome profit. Heres a diagram of what we are doing:
20
25
30
35
40Stock Price
45
50
55
60
Advanced Building Corp. (ABC)
65
GREEN
As you should be able to tell by this diagram, this call option should
be pretty cheap—there is a little corner of the call options range of expo-
sure within the BSM cone, but not much.