Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
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Index
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Comfortable choices, trading principles
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and, 584
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Comfort zone, trading within, 577
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Commissions, 19
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Commodities:
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bearing little or no relationship to general rule,
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444–445
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conforming to inverse of general rule, 444
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demand curves and, 361
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general spread trade rule and, 443–444
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intercommodity spread and, 441–442
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nonstorable, 351, 360, 444
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perishable, 360, 364
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Commodities, 357
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Commodity T raders Consumers Report, 434
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Commodity trading advisors (CTAs), 23, 578
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Comparing indicators, 157–165
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difference indicators, 158, 159
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indicator correlations, 161–162, 163
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popular comparisons, 164
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Comparisons:
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nominal price levels, 355
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one-year, 350
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two managers, 320–322
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Compounded return, 323
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Computer testing of trading systems. See T esting/
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optimizing trading systems
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Confidence, 579–580
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Confidence interval(s), 612–614
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for an individual forecast, 627–629
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multiple regression model and, 642
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Confirmation conditions, 247–250
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bull or bear trap, 208
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pattern, 249, 250
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penetration as, 248
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time delay and, 248–249
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Confirmation myth, 170
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Congestion phases. See Continuation patterns
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Consistency, 582
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Constant-forward (“perpetual”) series, 281–282
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Consumer price index (CPI), 383
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Consumption:
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definition of, 363
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demand and, 357, 363–366
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price and, 364
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as proxy for inelastic demand, 370
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Contingent order, 18
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Chart(s):
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BLASH approach, 27–28
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equity, 566
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linked-contract (see Linked-contract charts)
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Random Walkers and, 29–34
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types of (see Chart types)
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Chart analysis, 149–154
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confirmation conditions and, 150
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false breakout signals, 151, 153
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long-term chart, 152, 154
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most important rules in, 205–231
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spread trades and, 449
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trading range and, 150
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winning breakout signals, 152, 153
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Chart-based objectives, 189
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Chart patterns, 109–147
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continuation patterns, 123–134
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flags and pennants (see Flags and pennants)
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head and shoulders, 138–141
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one-day patterns (see One-day patterns)
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reversal days, 113–116, 147
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rounding tops and bottoms, 141–143
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run days, 116, 118–119
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spikes (see Spikes)
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thrust days, 116, 117
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T op and bottom formations (see T op and bottom
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formations)
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Triangles (see Triangles)
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wedge, 146–147
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wide-ranging days (see Wide-ranging days)
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Chart types, 35–44
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bar charts, 35–39
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candlestick charts, 43–44
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close-only (“line”) charts, 40–42
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linked contract series: nearest futures versus
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continuous futures, 39–40
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point-and-figure charts, 42–43
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CIC (cancel if close) order, 188
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Close-only (“line”) charts, 40–42
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CME/COMEX contract, 459
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Cochrane-Orcutt procedure, 671
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Code parameter, 293
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Coefficient of determination (r
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2), 630–633
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Coffee:
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intercommodity spreads and, 453–454, 456
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seasonal index and, 400
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spread trade example, 445–446
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