Add training workflow, datasets, and runbook
This commit is contained in:
@@ -0,0 +1,54 @@
|
||||
496
|
||||
A Complete Guide to the Futures mArket
|
||||
Table 35.3d summarizes the profit/loss implications of various long call positions for a range of
|
||||
price assumptions. Note that as calls move deeper in-the-money, their profit and loss characteristics
|
||||
increasingly resemble a long futures position. The very deep in-the-money $1,050 call provides
|
||||
an interesting apparent paradox: The profit/loss characteristics of this option are nearly the same
|
||||
as those of a long futures position for all prices above $1,050, but the option has the advantage of
|
||||
limited risk for lower prices. How can this be? Why wouldn’t all traders prefer the long $1,050
|
||||
call to the long futures position and, therefore, bid up its price so that its premium also reflected
|
||||
more time value? (The indicated premium of $15,520 for the $1,050 call consists almost entirely
|
||||
of intrinsic value.)
|
||||
There are two plausible explanations to this apparent paradox. First, the option price reflects
|
||||
the market’s assessment that there is a very low probability of gold prices moving to this deep in-
|
||||
the-money strike price, and therefore the market places a low value on the time premium. In other
|
||||
words, the market places a low value on the loss protection provided by an option with a strike price
|
||||
so far below the market. Second, the $1,050 call represents a fairly illiquid option position, and the
|
||||
quoted price does not reflect the bid/ask spread. No doubt, a potential buyer of the call would have
|
||||
had to pay a higher price than the quoted premium in order to assure an execution.
|
||||
tabLe 35.3d profit/Loss Matrix for Long Calls with Different Strike prices
|
||||
Dollar amount of premiums paid
|
||||
$1,050 $1,100 $1,150 $1,200 $1,250 $1,300 $1,350
|
||||
Call Call a Call Call a Call Call a Call
|
||||
$15,520 $11,010 $7,010 $3,880 $1,920 $910 $450
|
||||
position profit/Loss at expiration
|
||||
Futures price at
|
||||
expiration ($/oz)
|
||||
Long
|
||||
Futures
|
||||
at $1,200
|
||||
In-the-Money at-the-Money Out-of-the-Money
|
||||
$1,050
|
||||
Call
|
||||
$1,100
|
||||
Calla
|
||||
$1,150
|
||||
Call
|
||||
$1,200
|
||||
Calla
|
||||
$1,250
|
||||
Call
|
||||
$1,300
|
||||
Calla
|
||||
$1,350
|
||||
Call
|
||||
1,000 –$20,000 –$15,520 –$11,010 –$7,010 –$3,880 –$1,920 –$910 –$450
|
||||
1,050 –$15,000 –$15,520 –$11,010 –$7,010 –$3,880 –$1,920 –$910 –$450
|
||||
1,100 –$10,000 –$10,520 –$11,010 –$7,010 –$3,880 –$1,920 –$910 –$450
|
||||
1,150 –$5,000 –$5,520 –$6,010 –$7,010 –$3,880 –$1,920 –$910 –$450
|
||||
1,200 $0 –$520 –$1,010 –$2,010 –$3,880 –$1,920 –$910 –$450
|
||||
1,250 $5,000 $4,480 $3,990 $2,990 $1,120 –$1,920 –$910 –$450
|
||||
1,300 $10,000 $9,480 $8,990 $7,990 $6,120 $3,080 –$910 –$450
|
||||
1,350 $15,000 $14,480 $13,990 $12,990 $11,120 $8,080 $4,090 –$450
|
||||
1,400 $20,000 $19,480 $18,990 $17,990 $16,120 $13,080 $9,090 $4,550
|
||||
aThese calls are compared in Figure 35.3d.
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user